No solar revolution without deep innovation
At a time when the solar PV industry is almost daily setting world records, the author of the book "Taming the Sun", the 29-year-old Stanford scientist and ex McKinsey consultant Varun Sivaram, pours cold water in the blood of those who assume that cheaper solar silicon cells, batteries and electric cars, will lead us towards the wanted solar revolution.
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Solar PV will be hit by "value deflation", he warns, when on sunny days the grid is injected with too much of it, as we already see signs of in Chile and Germany, for example.

But Sivaram is fundamentally an optimist and believes continued growth in solar energy is the key to success in achieving the goals of the Paris agreement. However, such sustained growth is dependent upon deep innovation in three areas: technology, financing, and energy market organization.
Perovskite and solar fuels

The "working horse" in the solar cell industry, silicon, has shown impressive progress and cost reductions over time. However, silicon is unable to be cheap and/or efficient enough to provide growth when market prices for solar power have fallen by around 75 percent, which Sivaram warns will occur sometime after 2030. It is therefore necessary to invest more in the development of alternative materials. Sivaram particularly focuses on perovskite, which scientists currently produce synthetically, and which is both flexible and has the ability to capture greater bandwidth and thus can provide higher efficiency than silicon. For example, by adding three layers of perovskite within a solar cell, efficiency can be increased to more than 40 percent, according to Sivaram, almost double that of what can be reached with today's silicon technology. Oxford Photovoltaics has announced that they will start selling solar cells consisting of silicon plus a layer of perovskite in the latter half of 2018. Statoil is one of the investors in Oxford Photovoltaics.



